Red Mirage, Blue Mirage: Why Early 2024 Election Results Can Be Misleading
In 2020, former President Donald Trump posted on Twitter, declaring himself poised to win the election as early East Coast results showed him with a significant lead. However, that initial advantage soon narrowed and then disappeared as more mail-in and absentee ballots—typically favoring Democratic candidates—were counted.
What is a ‘red mirage’ or ‘blue shift’?
As the 2024 election unfolds, many voters are wondering why results seem to change so fast. They’re witnessing a “red mirage" or “blue shift."
What is a ‘red mirage’ and a ‘blue shift’? Understanding early presidential results
But as more absentee and vote-by-mail ballots are processed, state results could shift back towards the Democrats. In 2020, Donald Trump prematurely declared victory while early vote counts put him ahead in the race,
Could 2024 see a ‘red’ or ‘blue’ mirage? Why experts caution reading into early results
Former President Donald Trump’s early declaration of victory in 2020 could be tracked back to the “red mirage,” experts say.
What is the ‘red mirage’ and how does it affect the preliminary results of the election?
The early results in the presidential election can give a skewed vision of how the eventual result will turn out.
What's a 'red' and 'blue mirage,' and how election night vote counts make it hard to tell who will win
A big lead at some point on election night doesn’t always mean a candidate will win. That’s because different places and types of votes get counted at different speeds.
Opinion
The ‘red mirage’ is back. Be ready for this key state to take its time counting ballots.
The ‘red mirage’ is back. Be ready for this key state to take its time counting ballots. Like a horror movie villain, the “red mirage” is back for a sequel.
Red mirage and the blue shift: Why we shouldn't jump to conclusions about the US election
Why we shouldn't jump to conclusions about the US election - US presidential election voting patterns can cause a ‘red mirage’ and ‘blue shift’ – here’s what those terms mean
‘Blue Mirage’ And ‘Red Mirage,’ Explained: Why The First Swing State Vote Counts May Be Misleading
Votes tallied on Election Day tend to favor Republicans in a phenomenon known as the "red mirage," while a so-called blue ...
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What is a ‘red mirage’? Is it happening now?
It’s important to wait until all ballots are counted because the swing states tend to sway both ways throughout the day.
How Trump used the ‘red mirage’ in vote counting to deny his 2020 loss
As Trump saw early leads dwindle in some states, he called for officials to stop counting votes and claimed the remaining ...
Wisconsin Democratic Party chairman warns likely ‘red mirage’ in election results will precede ‘blue shift’
Wisconsin Democratic Party Chairman Ben Wikler predicted that if it appears that former President Donald Trump is winning his ...
‘Red mirage’: New election phenomenon could destroy Donald Trump’s election chances
Research and trend data indicate Republicans are more likely to vote in-person on the day, and those ballots tend to be counted first, hence the ‘red mirage’. Democrats are more likely to vote by ...