Probability theory has long provided a rigorous framework for quantifying uncertainty, yet its extension to infinite sets introduces profound conceptual challenges and opportunities. Contemporary ...
The conjunction and disjunction fallacies are famous for revealing the limits of human reasoning about probability. This can be measured by telling people a short story about a character and then ...
We will start by embedding probability theory into a general framework, where we will construct infinite sequences of independent random variables, and (re)visit laws of large numbers, 0-1 laws and ...
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