Red Mirage, Blue Mirage: Why Early 2024 Election Results Can Be Misleading
In 2020, former President Donald Trump posted on Twitter, declaring himself poised to win the election as early East Coast results showed him with a significant lead. However, that initial advantage soon narrowed and then disappeared as more mail-in and absentee ballots—typically favoring Democratic candidates—were counted.
What is a ‘red mirage’ and a ‘blue shift’? Understanding early presidential results
As presidential election resulst trickle in, some television pundits may talk of a 'red mirage' and a 'blue shift.' What does that mean?
Could 2024 see a ‘red’ or ‘blue’ mirage? Why experts caution reading into early results
Former President Donald Trump’s early declaration of victory in 2020 could be tracked back to the “red mirage,” experts say.
What is the ‘red mirage’ and how does it affect the preliminary results of the election?
The early results in the presidential election can give a skewed vision of how the eventual result will turn out.
Red mirage and the blue shift: Why we shouldn't jump to conclusions about the US election
That phenomenon is referred to as the red mirage and the blue shift, terms coined by a 2020 study by the data firm Hawkfish and by Ohio State University election law expert Edward Foley in 2019, respectively. Here’s a closer look at the two terms and ...
Why 2024 could see another "red mirage" and "blue shift"
Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios Don't let the early results on Election Night fool you. Delayed absentee ballot counts in key swing states could tilt how the presidential race ultimately shakes out.
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What is a ‘red mirage’? Is it happening now?
It’s important to wait until all ballots are counted because the swing states tend to sway both ways throughout the day.
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What is a ‘red mirage’ or ‘blue shift’?
Because a higher percentage of voters who request mail-in ballots are Democrats, there is the potential for what is referred ...
‘Blue Mirage’ And ‘Red Mirage,’ Explained: Why The First Swing State Vote Counts May Be Misleading
Votes tallied on Election Day tend to favor Republicans in a phenomenon known as the "red mirage," while a so-called blue ...
How Trump used the ‘red mirage’ in vote counting to deny his 2020 loss
As Trump saw early leads dwindle in some states, he called for officials to stop counting votes and claimed the remaining ...
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Wisconsin Democratic Party chairman warns likely ‘red mirage’ in election results will precede ‘blue shift’
Wisconsin Democratic Party Chairman Ben Wikler predicted that if it appears that former President Donald Trump is winning his ...
‘Red mirage’: New election phenomenon could destroy Donald Trump’s election chances
Research and trend data indicate Republicans are more likely to vote in-person on the day, and those ballots tend to be counted first, hence the ‘red mirage’. Democrats are more likely to vote by ...
What is the ‘red mirage’ or the ‘blue shift’ and will it happen this year?
Former President Donald Trump has pointed to the red mirage to back up his baseless allegations of election fraud, when ...